Friday, June 3, 2011

Much Ado About Nothing?

The IA-AI merger does not seem to be working. And strikes at Air India are making matters worse. Worse – no party seems to be getting much out of the strikes. What’s there to gain from all the melodrama? 

As if accumulated losses of over $3 billion was not enough for India’s ailing nationalised carrier, the Air India (AI) management found itself on a sticky wicket yet again, after over 800 pilots (who belonged to the erstwhile Indian Airlines) went on strike from midnight April 27, 2011. Neither is this the first time in 12 months that such a situation has come to cause discomfort to Air India passengers (it was last May when about 25,000 employees went on a flash strike), nor is this the first time that the management of the airline has faced questions over wage inequalities. Only this time, it just got bigger and worse. The strike lasted 10 days, and towards the end of the strike period, on May 6, 2011, flight cancellations had risen to about 90%. And how much of a loss did the airline incur? Between Rs.1.5 billion to Rs.2 billion. But everybody knows. This scenario which has “again” occurred due to mismanagement by those at the helm of affairs at AI, is not a new sight. One more strike, one more submission by the government, and perhaps thousands of customers lost forever. Only, this fact is not official.

The merger of the erstwhile Indian Airlines with AI was undertaken on May 1, 2007, with the view to make the airline more profitable and efficient. It was felt during that time that combining the two state-run firms into a single entity would provide an opportunity to leverage combined assets to build a stronger, more sustainable business to fight the ever-rising competition and price wars in the sector. Four years since the merger (and two years after the integration has been completed), contrary to expectations, the Air India flight has failed to take off. Historically, mergers in the aviation sector have failed because the management could not or did not put in place a people integration strategy before the single operational licence date (which happens 18 months after the merger is signed). The AI case is a reflection of the failed US Airways and AmericaWest merger, in whose case, today, even 6 years later, the carriers are today operated uniquely by two different pilot groups. One merger, two ideologies? Doesn’t work. Also, you cannot have labour issues if you want a successful merger.

Air India topped the list of biggest State-owned loss-making firms for FY2009-10, according to a February 2011 survey titled, Public Enterprises Survey, conducted by a Government of India agency. And such strikes will not help alter such findings. It will also damage its market share, which is already getting slimmer with budget and private carriers enjoying greater patronage from the fliers. Surely, for the month of April and May 2011, the strike will impact the carrier’s share. [The airline currently has a 17% domestic market share, compared to Jet’s 26% & Kingfisher’s 18%.] As per DGCA, AI, which operates 320 flights daily to domestic & international destinations, cancelled a total of 1,470 flights during the strike days. Cancelled flights mean doubly-lost opportunity, because not only are you letting go of customers, you are actually sending them to competitors!

In a rather unusual response to the situation, Arvind Jadhav, CMD of Air India, decided to put the blame on his predecessors and the political leadership. Yes, he does not deserve all the blame for the situation in which AI finds itself today. But he is also no new guest to the party. The day the strike was called off, he had completed 2 years & 2 days as the top guy for the job to turn around AI. Are we to understand that all this while, for the past two years, he could not hear a single voice of request from the end of the Indian Commercial Pilots Association (ICPA; a body that represents the pilots of the erstwhile IA)?

Truth is – for the past four years, AI has been virtually sleeping over ICPA’s demands. Since May 1, 2007 – when the IA & AI merger was signed, and the National Aviation Company of India Ltd., NACIL was born – pilots of the erstwhile IA have been pleading for pay parity. According to the Chief Labour Commissioner’s (CLC) report on the failure of the reconciliation talks that led to the ongoing pilots’ strike, the airline management turned down the pilots’ demand for fixed flying hours and layover allowance. ICPA had demanded a fixed allowance for 75 flying hours a month and also sought a monthly layover allowance, which covers expenses incurred by a pilot in a foreign city between flights, of $1,600 for commanders and $1,300 for co-pilots for operating international flights. “The ICPA representative stated that despite giving repeated assurances, commitments to the union and CLC in past proceedings with definite deadlines, the management has repeatedly failed to present any concrete proposal on pay parity [with colleagues in the pre-merger AI],” the report said. In fact, the ICPA General Secretary Rishabh Kapur has claimed that AI is not actually making losses and demanded a CBI enquiry into what he called were corruption cases in the airline. [He may be right. But actually, airlines around the world made total losses of $9 billion in 2009 and another $2.8 billion in 2010 (as per IATA)]. ICPA leaders have also alleged that the AI management wants it to go belly up so that its huge assets can be sold at dirt prices. Whatever be the excuses, the allegations & the cross-allegations – truth is, mismanagement at AI is not a fact unknown. Illogical expansions, an untimely merger (just before the downturn), a book of account saddled with debt of Rs.400 billion & Rs.130 billion in accumulated losses – these are “big” signs of trouble.

The fact that the Delhi High Court was forced to intervene (it gave an order to the pilots to withdraw the strike, and also issued contempt notices upon non-compliance), is proof enough that the strike did put the flying public through great inconvenience. Where AI however deserves praise is the manner in which it firmly handled the pilot’s union. It initially derecognised the union for causing the disruption in service and fired its nine leaders from service (six were sacked on April 27 and three more by April 30). It was probably for the first time that the AI management took a sensible decision. But the government’s action spoilt the game. As per company sources, the AI management gave in only after the civil aviation ministry intervened. On May 3, 2011, Civil Aviation Minister Vayalar Ravi had said, “If the agitating pilots of Air India call off their strike, the airline management will take back the pilots who were terminated.” So were they taken back? Yes. But besides taking the trouble makers back, even their union was re-recognised.

We should note here that these pilots are not your illiterate daily-wagers who have the right to strike. They are a set of well-paid professionals who were angry because their bankrupt company was not overpaying them like some other professionals. There is also a larger question on whether pilots can be considered to be workmen and have the right to strike. Perhaps, we are talking of ethics here – a word which does not find a place in AI’s handbook.

So, after all this drama, there is nothing that has come out of the strike. The de-recognised unions were re-recognised, the sacked pilots were reinstated and the government promised to look into the pilots’ demands through the Dharmadhikari Committee which will submit its report in the next five months (which in any case, it was going to). Who will be held accountable for the losses and the customers lost? No one. Can the ministry guarantee that such an agitation will not get repeated? No. Was the High Court diktat followed? Not in the least. Does not the Civil Aviation Ministry understand that it is the Indian tax payers’ money that is being wasted through the highly inefficient organisation called Air India? Perhaps yes. But it doesn’t make a difference to them as till now, not many are making a connect between the massive wastage of national resources and Air India. What needs to be done now is a critical review of whether Air India should be continued or be simply sold off to the best bidder. There is no way that the Indian tax payers’ money should be thrown away anymore to benefit one of the worst benchmarks in the global aviation industry. 

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